|
Scenario
|
Description |
|
1.
Status Quo
|
Continuance
of the health care insurance coverage and staffing that existed
in 1995. |
|
2.
Baseline Insurance Projections
|
Reasonably
expected increases in managed care, coupled with reductions in the
uninsured population. No change in health care staffing patterns
for each established mode of delivery (staff HMO, IPA HMO, fee-for-service). |
|
3.
High Managed Care
|
Greater-than-expected
growth in managed care penetration, with no change in staffing patterns
for each mode of delivery. |
|
4.
Universal Coverage
|
Managed
care extended to 100 percent of the population with staffing levels
increased to reflect higher expected utilization by the previously
uninsured. |
|
5.
Equal Access And Universal Coverage
|
Same
as Scenario 4 with improved access, and therefore increased staffing,
in medically underserved areas and to underserved populations. |
|
6.
Doubled Non-Physician Provider Use
|
Same
as Scenario 2 with staffing levels adjusted to reflect a doubling
in the use of non-physician providers (nurse practitioners, physician
assistants, etc.) in place of physicians. |
